Will Bitcoin go up-only until halving? (monthly close)

Question

Will every month close higher than the previous month until halving? The last month that must close higher is the one when the halving occur (likely April 2024).

Month close: the last day of the month, 12:00 am UTC (same as CoinMarketCap uses for monthly candles)

Price source: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ (regular view)

In other words, every candle on this view must be green until halving:

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on May 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.