Will this market appear on a mug?

Question

Resolves YES if a portrayal of this market is printed on the side of a mug AND it is available for purchase in the official manifold mana shop.

See also: https://manifold.markets/Gen/mana-merch-shop-which-designs-will

Update 2026-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Will resolve NO at the scheduled close date, unless there are credible reports that a mug is in production.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (34 traders, as of Jul 4, 2026).