2028 Democratic nominee?

Question

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Gavin Newsom, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Josh Shapiro are most likely. See the market for live updates (338 traders, as of Mar 23, 2026).