Will Trump pardon any of the convicted “J6ers” before 2028?

Question

Recently in an interview Trump stated again that he will “absolutely” pardon those convicted from events that took place at the Capitol on Jan 6th.

In the three years since the Jan. 6, 2021, assault on the U.S. Capitol, federal prosecutors have charged more than 1,265 defendants across nearly all 50 states and D.C. and secured sentences of incarceration for more than 460 people, according to newly released numbers from the U.S. Attorney's Office in D.C.

Department prosecutors have secured more than 718 guilty pleas -- including 213 who pleaded to felonies that include assaults on federal officers, obstructing law enforcement and seditious conspiracy.

Also, 171 others have been found guilty at trial or otherwise convicted, the D.C. U.S. Attorney Office said.

Rules:

If Trump pardons anyone who has been convicted of: assaults on federal officers, obstructing law enforcement, or seditious conspiracy, due to their involvement in the events at the US Capitol on Jan 6th 2021, before 2028, then this will resolve YES.

If Trump is not elected in the 2024 Presidential election, or Trump is elected but pardons nobody fitting the description of “YES” above, then this will resolve NO.

This will NOT N/A

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Jan 22, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.