September 2nd to September 9th (likely to be pre-debate)

September 10th to September 30th (likely debate within)

October 1st to November 4th (vp debate likely within)

November 5th to December 15th (election day within)

December 16th to January 5th (electors vote within)

 time, exact time of the pass in this market will be determined by analyzing 

the electionbettingodds “last day” chart 

Through analyzing the graph after market creation, 

 it will be considered a pass for the point at which the 

 or greater Trump lead is shown on the graph.

The first pass since market creation will be the only pass considered in resolving this market.

To further ensure bias has no roll in determining the “official time of the pass” I will not trade in this market.

If Trump odds never pass Kamala (0.1% gap favoring Trump) before the eod (11:59:59 pm EST) Jan 5th 2025, then “Trump never passes Kamala (by 0.1%)” will resolve YES and everything else will resolve NO.

NOTE: each option referring to a specific day have the following rules: 11:59:59 pm EST when it’s the second day mentioned, and 12:00:00 am EST when it’s the first day mentioned in the option.

Any glitches on their website will not resolve this. I will wait until the point in question is static and the following point is plotted to determine if it was a pass and at what exact moment.

Comment any question or news you have! 💙