I think the lesson EA leaders are likely to take away from the FTX scandal is that they need to value consensus decisionmaking more highly. Discussions are already happening regarding establishing new accountability practices and reporting; on the whole I think this will cause EA organizations to be more cautious around funding and public image, and more determined to keep decisions about both in the hands of EA leadership.

I have a negative view of this outcome, see my comment here: 

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/at-the-end-of-2023-will-people-in-e#rzrG9lV6DvW9YyyPpDve

Resolves based on my subjective judgment, establish another market if you want more objective resolution criteria. Some ways this could get closer to being operationalized (maybe these deserve their own markets):

I recognize that most likely EA will get more centralized in some ways and less in others; it's possible that I reach a different overall conclusion than you by weighing different pieces of evidence differently than you. (Get the hell out of here, Aumann!)