Will this market be in the interval [1-48] OR [95-99] when the question closes on January 24th?

Question

Yes if "chance" is between 1% and 48% OR 95% and 99% including endpoints.

No if the chance is less than 1%, between 49% and 94%, or more than 99%.

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval and https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4808/will-the-median-prediction-on-this-question-fall-in-range-1-48-or-95-99/.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Jan 24, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.