Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?

Question

Market closes when polls close in Hungary on 12 April 2026, 19:00 Budapest time (CEST).

Market resolves when the National Assembly elects a Prime Minister following the 2026 parliamentary elections.

Related: In the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary Election, who will be endorsed for prime minister by a party on the ballot?

Update 2026-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market closes when polls close on 12 April 2026, 19:00 Budapest time (CEST), but will resolve when the election result is official.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 13% chance (616 traders, as of Apr 12, 2026).