Everyone agrees that the Bundestag is too big and bloated. For years there have been talks and attempts at electoral reform, but nothing was succesful. Will this year be different? 

https://www.dw.com/en/germany-set-to-shrink-its-xxl-parliament/a-64471203

Resolves Yes, if there is electoral reform that reduces the expected number of seats by 100 or more (there are currently 736 seats).

Thx for your comments. I have decided that this market resolves as follows

This resolves yes at the end of the year, unless there is strong evidence that the reform will not take effect before the next election.

If the BVG rules in favor of the reform, this resolves Yes immediately

If the BVG rules against the reform, this resolves No, if there is no other reform until the end of the year