Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Question

As per the OpenAI charter:

We will actively cooperate with other research and policy institutions; we seek to create a global community working together to address AGI’s global challenges.

Will resolve to YES if, as part of any statement issued by OpenAI or by someone who at my discretion I deem to be plausibly representing OpenAI, a cooperation agreement between OpenAI and any of Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google is announced, with the specific intention of preventing race dynamics.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 56% chance (30 traders, as of Oct 1, 2026).