Will Eliezer Yudkowsky make any public statement in 2023 that his current p(doom) is not at its historical maximum?

Question

In other words, will Eliezer say that he is more optimistic than he used to be, even by some tiny amount?

Will obviously have to resolve somewhat at my discretion. Any kind of verifiable, public statement will do, including Tweets, LessWrong comments etc. Things he allegedly said to people in private will not count.

Feb 27, 6:27pm: Will Eliezer Yudkowsky make any public statement in 2023 that his current p(doom) is not at its historical minimum? → Will Eliezer Yudkowsky make any public statement in 2023 that his current p(doom) is not at its historical maximum?

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Feb 27, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.