Will the Ukrainian army successfully maintain defending Bakhmut against the invading Russians in April?

Question

Resolves NO if Russia takes over the Bakhmut 2 train station by the end of April. Refer to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

If this area is shaded red on the ISW maps, the market will resolve NO. If this area remains shaded orange or not shaded by the end of April, the market will resolve YES.

(https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 21, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.