Will half of the S&P 500 enforce wide adoption of AI tools by employees by EOY 2026?

Question

I will select 50 component companies of the S&P 500 at random at the end of the year and check whether they enforce AI use by a large (roughly, more than half) portion of their employees. I will look for a statement from the company, leaked internal documents, or reporting from a major news journal.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 19% chance (15 traders, as of May 20, 2026).