Will the Respect for Marriage Act (federal codification of same-sex marriage) pass the Senate in 2022?

Question

Resolves YES if the Respect for Marriage Act - H.R.8404 https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8404 - passes the US Senate by the end of 2022; otherwise NO.

Background: The bill requires the US federal government to recognize same-sex and interracial marriages, and repeals the Defense of Marriage Act; essentially codifying the Supreme Court Decision Obergefell v. Hodges.

The bill passed the House with the support of 47 out of 211 Republicans and every Democrat. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said he is working to get 10 Republican votes to pass the bill in the Senate: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/20/same-sex-marriage-senate-schumer-gop/.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Nov 30, 2022 by Manifold Markets prediction market.