Resolves YES if North Korea detonates a nuclear weapon (whether test or non-test) by June 9, 2023 at 11:59pm local time in Korea. NO otherwise.

Resolution will be based on reliable media reporting.

In 2022, North Korea conducted a large number of 

. North Korea has done 6 nuclear tests (see 

), the first in 2006 and the most recent in 2017. South Korean and US intelligence indicated that North Korea had 

completed preparations for a nuclear test

reopening of their underground nuclear test site

https://manifold.markets/post/nuclear-risk-forecasting

 for a dashboard of other nuclear risk questions along with commentary and analysis.

https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2659-between-9-december-2022-and-9-june-2023-will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-device