Resolves YES if North Korea tests a nuclear weapon before the end of 2023. NO otherwise.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_weapons_tests_of_North_Korea

 and reliable media reporting for resolution. I will use local time in Korea.

In 2022, North Korea conducted a large number of 

. North Korea has done 6 nuclear tests (see 

), the first in 2006 and the most recent in 2017. South Korean and US intelligence indicated that North Korea had 

completed preparations for a nuclear test

reopening of their underground nuclear test site

https://manifold.markets/post/nuclear-risk-forecasting

 for a dashboard of other nuclear risk questions along with commentary and analysis.