This market will resolve to YES, if at any point of 2024, the Approval Rating for Joe Biden falls below 37.6% or another All-Time-Low that might be reached in late 2023.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

Latest polls on President Joe Biden’s approval ratings

How Popular Is Joe Biden?

Please note, in case of any methodology change, this market will resolve YES whenever the bold line indicates the all-time-low is in 2024.

If there is a tie, detailed data will be used - but only at the end of the year.