Will I run at least 500 hours in 2023?

Question

Resolves to YES if I have logged at least 500 hours of running on Strava in 2023. Activities that I will track as running: all kinds of running (road, trail, track, treadmill) including parts that are hiked when the main activity was a run (e.g., steep hills in a mountain race). Background: I am an avid runner. In 2021, I logged 483 hours of running (rounded); I will add the 2022 numbers in January. My goal this year is 500 hours. Will post a link to my Strava when I resolve (all runs and cumulative stats visible on there).

As this is a commitment market, I will only buy YES and never sell (including shortly before resolution), regardless of which outcome I estimate to be most likely.

For the 2022 version of this question see this market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/howtodowtle/will-i-run-at-least-500-hours-in-20)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 2, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.