Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Question

https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems

1 was solved - the Poincare conjecture - by Grigori Perelman. There are 6 remaining.

There are 17ish years left before this market closes.

Apr 4, 1:51am: Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems by solved by 2040? → Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 77% chance (70 traders, as of Feb 3, 2026).