An earthquake occurs that causes >=150 fatalities (Anywhere in the world)

An earthquake occurs that causes >=150 fatalities in the US

An earthquake occurs that causes >=1000 deaths (anywhere in the world)

An earthquake occurs that causes >=10,000 deaths (anywhere in the world)

. All predictions are supposed to be about 2024. I will N/A irrelevant predictions or predictions about broader timeframes. By default, if no timeframe is mentioned, it is to be assumed as sometime in 2024. 

If there are multiple, simultaneous (<24 hrs apart) earthquakes in the same location, then this market will treat them as a singular earthquake by default, unless otherwise specified.

As for the fatalities, a few (>3, <10) of the reputable reportings of the number will be averaged to get an estimate.

Only about earthquakes in 2024, not before.