Will I bet at least 5 mana each day on Aella's 2027 baby market till its conclusion?

Question

https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-have-a-baby-by-the-end-of-20-jekyn2yui2

This market resolves NO if I miss a day (either losing my streak of betting on another market instead and not on Aella's 2027 baby market before next streak day starts).

Else, YES if Aella has a baby at any stage of production without her or her surrogate becoming unpregnant before Jan 1, 2028, 23:59 PST.

Else, YES on Jan 1, 2028, 23:59 PST.

Since Apr 27 2025, I broke my streak on:

Jun 25 (restored: Jun 30)

Jul 8 (restored: Jul 8)

Jul 16 (restored: Jul 17)

Jul 18 (restored: Jul 19)

Aug 6 (restored: Aug 6)

Aug 7 (restored: Aug 8)

Aug 8 (restored: Aug 10)

Aug 19 (restored: Aug 19)

As of today, Dec 9 2025, my streak remains unbroken for 110 days.

My second-longest unbroken streak (Apr 27 - Jun 25) was 59 days.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 77% chance (15 traders, as of Sep 30, 2026).