Will I live to be 200 years old?

Question

I don't smoke, I don't abuse drugs, and I rarely drink (~twice per month).
I sport at least 180 minutes per week (primarily aerobic exercise), sometimes much more.
I eat a healthy diet (for American standards) with lots of vegetables and not a lot of meat. No sugar.
I am currently very content with my life, including my social and romantic life.
I rarely feel stressed (~once per week slightly stressed).

Close date updated to 2202-01-31 12:00 am

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 12% chance (74 traders, as of Mar 11, 2026).