Will the Mpox (monkeypox) outbreak in the US end in February 2023?

Question

Resolves YES if the 7-day moving average of Mpox cases reported by the CDC (https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/mpx-trends.html) is 0 on any day before March 1, 2023.

The market closes on February 28, 2023, but data for the last days of the month will likely not be available until later, so I will resolve the market whenever data for February 28 is available. I will resolve with the first data available, be aware that CDC might adjust the count later (although this is less of a problem for a moving average).

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Mar 2, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.