Will the groundhog see its shadow on Groundhog's Day 2024?

Question

Groundhog Day "is a popular North American tradition observed in the United States and Canada on February 2. It derives from the Pennsylvania Dutch superstition that if a groundhog emerges from its burrow on this day and sees its shadow due to clear weather, it will retreat to its den, and winter will go on for six more weeks; if it does not see its shadow because of cloudiness, spring will arrive early." (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groundhog_Day)

Resolves YES if the official groundhog from Punxsutawney, PA (Punxsutawney Phil) sees its shadow on February 2, 2024: https://www.visitpa.com/live-stream-phils-prediction

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Feb 2, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.