Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page this year?

Question

Resolves YES if Manifold Markets has a Wikipedia page before the end of the year.

EDIT: To be more specific these are the criteria that I will use (thanks to @XComhghall for suggestions):

Draft, articles for deletion and redirects do not count as a 'Wikipedia page' in this market.

If the article goes through the guided draft and review process, and it gets approved, I will resolve the market YES if the page is still there after a week (has to be approved before January 1st).

If the article goes through the guided draft and review process, it gets approved before January 1st, but someone flags it for deletion within a week of it getting approved, I will wait until the Wikipedia admins decide to delete (resolving NO) or accept the article (YES), independently of how much time it takes for the admins to arrive at a conclusion.

If someone makes a non-draft page, then I would only resolve YES, after someone else (I can do it if you notify me that the page is up) nominates the article for deletion, and the Wikipedia admins accept the page BEFORE January 1st.

EDIT: there's currently a draft page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Draft:Manifold_(prediction_market)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 2, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.