Will Starship–SuperHeavy IFT-3 successfully perform an internal propellant transfer?

Question

In December 2023, NASA made statements that SpaceX would demonstrate an internal propellant transfer (transferring propellant between two internal tanks) in their next Starship–SuperHeavy flight:

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/05/spacex-plans-nasa-refueling-demonstration-for-next-starship-launch.html

This would be a demonstration of the kind of propellant transfer that would need to take place in orbit between vehicles as part of Starship's role in the upcoming Artemis missions to the moon.

Will Starship–SuperHeavy successfully perform such a demonstration during the third Integrated Flight Test?

Resolves YES on statements from SpaceX saying that this propellant transfer was attempted and was successful.

Resolves NO if a propellant transfer demonstration is described by SpaceX as unsuccessful, or if IFT-3 comes to an end (successfully or otherwise, including vehicle destruction on the pad) without a propellant transfer taking place.

Note specifically that if SpaceX launches the flight with no plans to do such a demonstration, this market still resolves NO, not N/A.

If the third flight isn't called "IFT-3", that's fine, this question is about the third Starship–SuperHeavy orbital or near-orbital flight, and will not resolve until a third flight has completed or the vehicle for a third flight attempt has been destroyed in an attempt (including blowing up on the pad as part of a launch attempt).

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Apr 26, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.