In what year will Tower make his infamous conversion posts?

Question

You know the ones.

They have to be published on a stable site, not just on Discord, and Tower must agree that they are intended to be The Posts. If it's a multi-post series, then the date of the last post in the series is the relevant one.

If Tower announces that he no longer intends to make The Posts, or dies without making them, the market resolves to 2100.

See also:

[markets]

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.4059228867981252 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of Oct 3, 2023).