Will I ever run for president of the USA

Question

Resolves NO if I die or decide that I don't want to run.

Resolves YES if I run for president (has to be in major, trustworthy news source, I can't just say "I'm running for president lol")

This is not a trick question--I was born in the USA and will be eligible to run once I am 35 years old. I think I want to try running but I'm not sure yet. I won't bet in this market.

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's IRL friends are aware of this market and can resolve it in the event of the creator's death.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 5% chance (16 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).