Donald Trump wins the election, Tumbles is late on a loan this year

Donald Trump wins the election, Tumbles isn't late on a loan this year

Joe Biden wins the election, Tumbles is late on a loan this year

Joe Biden wins the election, Tumbles isn't late on a loan this year

Someone else wins the election, Tumbles is late on a loan this year

Someone else wins the election, Tumbles isn't late on a loan this year

The first condition resolves based on the preponderance of news coverage reporting the winner of the 2024 POTUS Election. "Someone Else" refers to someone other than Joe Biden or Donald Trump winning the election (e.g. other candidates are nominated, death, disqualified, etc.).

The second condition resolves based on whether 

 has been late on any loan between market creation and December 31, 2024 @11:59:59 PM (EST). The primary source to resolve this is 

, but if that market is closed, deleted, or there is strong evidence to the contrary additional evidence will be considered.