Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse)

Question

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, at the exact moment of market close, the number of unique users holding a positive balance of YES shares is strictly less than the number of unique users holding a positive balance of NO shares.

This market resolves to NO if the number of unique users holding a positive balance of YES shares is greater than or equal to the number of unique users holding a positive balance of NO shares.

Background

This is a self-referential meta-market where the resolution is determined entirely by the trading behavior and holding patterns of the participants in this specific market.

Traders can directly influence the outcome by choosing which shares to hold and whether to coordinate with other traders to balance or skew the holder counts before the market closes.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Sep 10, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.