S&P 500 closing price end of September? (20 mana bonus, read description)

Question

20 mana bonus: Traders who place a bet on all five options and leave a comment letting me know will receive a 20 mana bonus.

This market resolves based on the official closing value of the S&P 500 (^GSPC) on September 30, 2026.

Each option resolves independently based on whether the S&P 500 closes strictly above the stated level.

For example, if the S&P 500 closes at 7,820:

Above 7,550 → YES

Above 7,650 → YES

Above 7,750 → YES

Above 7,850 → NO

Above 7,950 → NO

If the S&P 500 closes above 7,950, all five options resolve YES.

Resolution source

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) closing value displayed on Yahoo Finance for September 30, 2026 will be the primary resolution source.

If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or displays an erroneous value, another reputable financial data source may be used to determine the official S&P 500 closing value.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Above 7,550, followed by Above 7,650 and Above 7,750 are most likely. See the market for live updates (23 traders, as of Sep 20, 2026).