How many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description)

Question

for a 10 mana bonus, make any trade on all five options and ping me in comments, i’ll send the bonus once i see it :) (only applicable for unique human traders)

This market resolves based on the total number of hours I study during September 2026, from 1 September 2026 to 30 September 2026 inclusive.

Study time will be measured using my YPT (Yeolpumta) study tracker. The final recorded total at the end of September will determine the resolution.

I will provide updates on my recorded study time anywhere from daily to at least once a week throughout the market period.

At the end of the month, before resolving the market, I will upload a screenshot showing the total monthly study time, the relevant data, and a daily breakdown.

For reference, my recorded monthly study totals in 2026 so far are:

● January: 99:20:32

● February: 143:39:50

● March: 170:55:54

● April: 173:07:21

● May: 197:19:00

● June: 246:21:46

● July: 202:21:41

● August: 251:21:42

Only time recorded as study time in YPT will count. Breaks, leisure activities, and other untracked work will not be included.

I am the subject of this market and I am allowed to trade on it. I may be motivated by my positions (but at the end of the day, exams are exams).

If any tracking error, duplicate entry, or clearly accidental timer entry occurs, I may correct it before resolution so that the final figure reflects my actual study time as accurately as possible.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Above 200, followed by Above 220 and Above 240 are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Sep 1, 2026).