This resolves to YES if Manifolds adds a new answer type that allows people to enter a date as a prediction, similar to Metaculus. (e.g. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-system-is-devised/) Note: the new answer type does not need to support a continuous range, like Metaculus', but must be a distinct answer type from the existing types. The current answer types are "Yes/No" and "Free Response".

Sep 5, 8:05am: To clarify from a comment thread: I would resolve YES for "scalar" or "range" answer types, as long as dates are explicitly supported -- e.g. a datepicker in the UI