Will a successor to GPT-3 (e.g. GPT-4) be announced in 2022?

Question

Resolves YES if OpenAI announces GPT-4 in 2022. Also resolves YES if OpenAI releases a clear successor to GPT-3 that resembles the step change in capabilities from GPT-2 to GPT-3, but is not named GPT-4.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 2, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.