Will Brent Crude Oil close above $115 on May 22nd, 2026?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Brent Crude Oil closes at or above $115 per barrel on May 22nd, 2026. Resolution will be determined using the official closing price from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) at https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/prices.php or equivalent authoritative source (e.g CNBC, Bloomberg). If the market does not trade on May 22nd, 2026, the most recent trading day's close will be used.

Background

Brent Crude is the leading global price benchmark for Atlantic basin crude oils. Its price is influenced by a complex interplay of global supply and demand factors, geopolitical stability in oil-producing regions, OPEC+ production quotas, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Traders monitor these factors closely to predict volatility and price shifts in the energy markets.

This description was generated by AI.

¡ I'm leaving the probability/chance at 50% since you never know what might happen 🤷‍♀️

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jun 1, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.