This is a market that is attempting to evaluate the probability of AI wiping out humanity by 2030 conditional on artificial superintelligence existing. 

If artificial superintelligence does not exist by 2030, this market will resolve to N/A. 

This market resolves N/A on Jan 1st, 2027 as do the linked markets.

https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1686140175993487364

https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-by-2030-r?r=RWxpZXplcll1ZGtvd3NreQ

https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/will-artificial-superintelligence-e

31% chance. Will continuing progress in AI capabilities result in the existence of unambiguous artificial superintelligence, clearly superior to humans and humanity at virtually every cognitive problem, by Jan 1st 2030? (Every problem on which it’s possible to do better than humanity at all, eg, no…