Will Vladimir Putin's approval rating decrease in July 2026?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, according to the Levada Center, Vladimir Putin's domestic approval rating in July 2026 is at least one percentage point lower than it was in June 2026.

This market will resolve NO if, according to the Levada Center, Vladimir Putin's domestic approval rating in July 2026 is unchanged or higher than it was in June 2026.

Clarifications

'Approval rating' refers to the percentage of respondents who approve of Vladimir Putin's job performance (most recently 74%).

As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be contentious, I may trade in this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (11 traders, as of Jul 9, 2026).