What will be true of Olivia Rodrigo's next album?

Question

Clarifications

Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market refer to the main album and its songs as initially released, excluding any further additions such as bonus tracks, acoustic versions, remixes and deluxe editions.

Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market must resolve no later than two weeks after the album is released. The close date may be changed accordingly.

I will not trade in this market.

Update 2026-03-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For options related to pop-punk: Pitchfork describing the album as a whole as pop-punk is sufficient for YES resolution, even if no specific song is singled out.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, It will have a Metacritic rating of 60% or higher one week post-release, followed by Pitchfork will describe at least one song as pop-punk and It will debut at #1 on Spotify's global albums chart are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Mar 23, 2026).