Will the "Madame Web" Rotten Tomatoes (critics) score be larger than the total points scored in Super Bowl LVIII?

Question

"Madame Web" (2024) Rotten Tomatoes page: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/madame_web

Explanation:

I will use the "Tomatometer" score (i.e. critics, not audience), and the number of percentage points.

For reference, "Venom" (2018) lists a score of 30%. This is larger than the total points scored in Super Bowl LIII (13-3 -> 16 total), and smaller than the total points scored in Super Bowl LIV (31-20 -> 51 total, the previous matchup between these teams).

I will use the listed percentage score, however RT chooses to round it. Thus for a 20-10 final score, Venom would have resolved NO at 30%, regardless of the true underlying proportion.

I will check RT on February 28th (i.e. two weeks after Feb 14 release) to resolve the market using the score that's listed when I check. While I doubt the score will still be meaningfully shifting, I can't guarantee exactly when that day I'll have time to check and resolve the market.

If any aspects of the resolution criteria are unclear, please ask.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Feb 19, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.