Will "Dune: Part Two" gross $40 million (domestic) during its 2nd weekend (March 8-10)? (a ~51% drop)

Question

Source: BoxOfficeMojo—specifically the "Domestic" and "Weekend" tabs.

For example, "Dune: Part Two" released on March 1st, and grossed $82,505,391 during its first (i.e. opening) weekend (March 1st - 3rd). Source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2024W09/?ref_=bo_wey_table_8.

This is the equivalent number I will use (the "Gross" column), but instead for the weekend of March 8th - 10th (its second at the box office).

If the gross listed by BoxOfficeMojo is >$40,000,000, this market resolves YES.

I will use the weekend gross posted by BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (again note this is domestic).

For context, as "Dune: Part Two" grossed $82.5M on its opening weekend, this would represent an approximately ~48% drop. In their respective second weekend, the original "Dune" (2021) dropped ~61%, while "Oppenheimer" (2023) dropped ~43%.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Mar 11, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.