Tornado count during April 2026

Question

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Background Information:

The National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) reports that the average number of tornadoes in April is 182. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/tornadoes

Related Markets:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Zacd/number-of-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-ap)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Zacd/will-a-tornado-outbreak-occur-on-ei)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Above 150, followed by Above 200 and Above 250 are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Apr 20, 2026).