When will Tumbles no longer need sleep? (

Question

❗IMPORTANT CLARIFICATION❗

For the purposes of this market, if Tumbles only needs to sleep 3 hours or less in order to be fully functional and awake during the day, then that qualifies as 'no longer needing sleep'. This would presumably require some sort of scientific/technological breakthrough.

Resolution Criteria:

Multiple answers can resolve YES.

This question asks whether sleep will be solved specifically for Tumbles. So for example, if Tumbles dies in 2030 and the cure for sleep is invented in 2035, then "Before 2042" resolves NO. Also, if science has cured sleep but Tumbles can't afford the cure, that's not good enough for resolution, Tumbles must personally have access.

If Tumbles has access to a cure for sleep, but for some reason chooses not to use it, resolution depends on the PRIMARY reason why Tumbles is choosing not to take advantage of it. If the PRIMARY reason Tumbles still must sleep is that he has decided he likes sleep, then resolves YES anyways. If the PRIMARY reason Tumbles still sleeps is that the cure is unaffordable or because he is concerned about side effects, then resolves NO.

If there is uncertainty about whether or not I have died, resolution should match this market:
@/Tumbles/how-many-years-will-tumbles-be-aliv

Info About Tumbles:

I am a Canadian male born in 1994 with no notable health concerns (as of 2026-02-09).

I would jump at the opportunity to pharmaceutically 'solve' sleep, even if there was uncertainty about long term side effects.

Tumbles currently needs to sleep about 8 hours in order to be fully functional (but often doesn't).

Relevant Markets:

@/corrus/will-sleep-be-needed-to-live-and-fu

More markets about the life of Tumbles:
Tumbles Personal Markets

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before 2084, followed by Before death of Tumbles and Before 2069 are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Aug 12, 2026).