Tumbles is never late, Canada enters a recession.

'canada':5 'enter':6 'late':4 'never':3 'recess':8 'tumbl':1

Tumbles is never late, Canada does not enter a recession.

'canada':5 'enter':8 'late':4 'never':3 'recess':10 'tumbl':1

Tumbles is late, Canada enters a recession.

'canada':4 'enter':5 'late':3 'recess':7 'tumbl':1

Tumbles is late, Canada does not enter a recession.

'canada':4 'enter':7 'late':3 'recess':9 'tumbl':1

The recession part resolves YES if the C.D. Howe Institute's Business Cycle Council declares that a recession happened during 2024. They have until 2026 to do so.

The part about Tumbles' financial status resolves based on 

. If that market resolves NO and a similar market replaces it, the replacement will also be considered.