Which teams will make it to the knockout stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Question

32 teams will make it into the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World cup, and so 32 answers will resolve YES and all others will resolve NO. Countries that fail to qualify for the World Cup will resolve NO. Counties that get knocked out in the group stages will resolve NO. Countries that make it to the Round of 32 in the Knockout Stage will resolve YES.

The group stage begins June 11th and goes until June 27th.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Mexico, followed by Argentina and South Korea are most likely. See the market for live updates (65 traders, as of Jun 12, 2026).