Will the Effective Altruism movement suffer a scandal more damaging than the FTX crash by the end of 2024?

Question

Resolves YES if a reputable article/blog/forum post etc. numerically shows that a scandal had a greater negative effect on donations and/or public approval than the FTX crash. Resolves to 50% if it's equally bad. Resolves NO otherwise.

Potential half-baked spit-balling worst case scenarios I'm low-key worried about:

Nick Bostrom publicly endorses eugenics and scientific racism

Peter Singer publicly endorses legalization of bestiality

Any major EA figure is outed and convicted as a serial pedophile

A major world leader or popular celebrity publicly and extensively condemns the EA movement for misrepresentative strawmannish reasons

CEA is revealed to have embezzled billions of donor funds on stereotypical wasteful opulent luxury

Feel free to comment your own scenarios

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Dec 28, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.