Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Question

Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.

Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM

Related market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 72% chance (88 traders, as of May 10, 2026).