Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?

Question

If a Fortune 500 company lists an AI or an AI-run entity as its CEO I will resolve YES. If the company is run by an AI with no obvious human counterpart, I will resolve YES.

It won't count if the company also has a human CEO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 63% chance (175 traders, as of Feb 19, 2026).