[Subsidized 10K] Will all seven states (NC, GA, PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV) swing blue in November?

Question

Clarifying resolution criteria:

[YES] Dems wins a plurality of votes in the Presidential election in all seven states listed.

[NO] One or more of the seven states is won by the Republican candidate.

While the suggested criteria of the change in the margin between the two major parties is really intriguing, Dems won 6 of the 7 states in 2020. IMO, for those 6, it would only mean an increased margin which is not a terribly impactful result and would reduce the poll to shifting margins in NC. I’m really trying to gauge the public sentiment as we approach Election Day about the composite of these 7 states that will determine the overall outcome.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Nov 6, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.