Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before July 2026?

Question

can also be a compilation of multiple ai-generated vidoes like the prompt theory one. if the same video goes viral on multiple platforms then views will be aggregated. minor human edits are allowed. .

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 9% chance (17 traders, as of Jun 11, 2026).