Will LLM hallucinations be a fixed problem by the end of 2025?

Question

https://fortune.com/2023/08/01/can-ai-chatgpt-hallucinations-be-fixed-experts-doubt-altman-openai/

[link preview]“This isn’t fixable,” said Emily Bender, a linguistics professor and director of the University of Washington’s Computational Linguistics Laboratory. “It’s inherent in the mismatch between the technology and the proposed use cases.”

How true will this end up being? At the end of 2025 I will evalaute whether the hallucination problem for LLMs has been fixed or still exists. If hallucinations have been solved this market resolves YES. If the outstanding hallucination problem still exists, this market will resolve NO.

Related market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/SneakySly/will-llm-hallucinations-be-a-fixed-0f4541372303?r=U25lYWt5U2x5)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 1, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.